Growth Newsletter #333
ChatGPT Ads is brand-spanking new, but maybe you've already set up a campaign or two. How's it going? Let me guess…basically zero clicks?
You need to remember that ChatGPT Ads is a recommendation layer, not a search channel. Your buyer is mid-conversation, reasoning through a problem, building a shortlist in real time. The ad that wins is the one that feels like it belongs in that conversation. If you get the mental model wrong, nothing else matters: not the creative, not the targeting, not the budget.
This week's tactics
ChatGPT Ads is a recommendation layer
By Zach Boyette, Managing Partner @ Saturation
When someone types a query into Google, they generally know what they're looking for. “Best payroll software for startups.” They know what category they want. They're ready to evaluate options. Google's job is to serve the most relevant result for that signal.
But on ChatGPT, you're entering a conversation. And your ad copy should keep in mind that ChatGPT shows one ad per conversation response. There's no positions 1 through 4. Every impression is a one-on-one moment with the user. That changes what good creative looks like. A generic “try our payroll software free” ad that converts well on Google can feel out of place inside a thoughtful conversational thread. The user wasn't asking for an ad. They were asking for a recommendation. The ad that wins is the one that reads like a knowledgeable colleague pointing them in the right direction.
Why the ChatGPT auction is worth entering now
The self-serve Ads Manager launched on May 5, 2026. Before that, you needed a direct relationship with OpenAI or an agency partner, and the minimum spend started at $200,000. Now any US business can sign up at ads.openai.com with no minimum spend. CPC bidding launched alongside self-serve, with OpenAI recommending starting bids of $3 to $5 per click. CPMs that started at $60 at the February launch have been reported as low as $25.
For context: the pilot crossed $100 million in annualized revenue within its first two months. OpenAI is targeting $2.5 billion in ad revenue for 2026 (and $100 billion by 2030, per the same investor briefing). The platform is attracting mega spend, but most categories are still uncrowded because the self-serve tools are brand new.
For startups specifically, this is huge. An early company with great positioning can now test the channel at whatever budget makes sense, and the auction rewards relevance and contextual fit more than raw spend. OpenAI uses a relevance-weighted second-price auction, so the most contextually relevant ad can win even at a lower bid. That structurally favors specific positioning over generic creative.
One thing to be upfront about: we're all still in early innings of understanding how this channel works. The founders running real campaigns right now are doing field research everyone else will read about in six months. ChatGPT Ads is also far from the sophistication of rival platforms like Google and Meta Ads. CPA and ROAS-based bidding aren't available yet. OpenAI just launched a Conversions API and pixel-based measurement on May 5, alongside the self-serve tools, but these are new and most advertisers haven't wired them up.
Early data from Criteo (OpenAI's first ad tech partner, connecting ~17,000 advertisers) shows that users arriving from ChatGPT convert at roughly 1.5x the rate of users from other referral channels. And roughly 60% of conversions from ChatGPT ads happen outside the immediate click window - users see the ad, continue their conversation, leave, and return to convert later. If you're only measuring same-session conversions, you're dramatically undervaluing the channel. Extend your attribution window to 7-14 days minimum.
Where ChatGPT Ads sits in your funnel
Something important to keep in mind: ChatGPT only shows ads to Free and Go tier users, not to Plus, Pro, Business, or Enterprise subscribers. That audience skews younger - 58% of adults under 30 use ChatGPT, and nearly half of all messages come from users under 26.
For some B2B categories with older buyer profiles, or tech-savvy users more likely to be on paid ChatGPT subscriptions, this means the ad-eligible audience may not map perfectly to your ICP today. For consumer products, SaaS with self-serve motions, education, and anything targeting digital-native buyers, the fit is strong right now.
How ChatGPT Ads fits with the rest of your stack
A rough mental model:
- Meta generates awareness among people who don't know they have a problem yet.
- ChatGPT Ads shows up while they're actively reasoning through the problem and forming a shortlist.
- Google Search captures the demand after they've decided what they want and are ready to evaluate a specific vendor.
- LinkedIn targets by role and seniority for B2B. Lifecycle channels convert and retain.
The gap ChatGPT fills is between “I'm aware this category exists” and “I know which product I want.” That gap used to live in blog posts, review sites, and word-of-mouth. Increasingly, it lives inside a conversation with an AI.
There's also a compounding effect. When a buyer encounters your brand in an organic ChatGPT recommendation and then sees a paid placement in the same session, you've shown up twice at the exact moment they're making a decision. This is why we're running organic AI presence and paid AI inventory as a single workstream at Saturation rather than treating them as separate programs. The companies that figure out how to make organic and paid AI work together will have an advantage that's very hard to reverse-engineer from the outside.
When ChatGPT Ads doesn't make sense
A quick test before committing budget: open ChatGPT (on a Free or Go tier account, since that's where ads appear) and type the question your best customers ask before buying from you. Look at the answer. If competitors are showing up organically, the paid layer is already relevant to your category. If the conversation generates a generic response with no brand names, your buyers may not be using ChatGPT as a research tool yet - or your category hasn't hit the model's radar.
Closing
The self-serve platform is days old. Most advertisers haven't set up their pixel yet. The startups that test now, wire up measurement from day one, and learn how conversational creative differs from search creative will have a compounding advantage by the time the auction fills up and costs rise.
Three questions worth answering before you test:
- Are your buyers already using ChatGPT to research options in your category? Test it yourself on a Free tier account and look at what comes back.
- Is your positioning specific enough to hold up in a conversational environment? Vague messaging underperforms in ChatGPT's format because there's one ad per response - if it doesn't feel relevant to the conversation, it gets ignored.
- Can you commit to measuring beyond same-session conversions? With 60% of conversions happening outside the click window, you need a 7-14 day attribution window and a plan to track branded search lift to see the real picture.
In Part 2, we'll break down how to build your ChatGPT Ads campaigns - from the Ads Manager setup to the right types of creative.
If you want to see if ChatGPT Ads would be worth it for your startup, get a free consultation at saturation.co.
Thanks y'all!





